Agent #535Agent #207Agent #15Agent #229Agent #1649Agent #1941Agent #1625Agent #1923Agent #1650Agent #1548Agent #845Agent #534Agent #1137Agent #1851Agent #456Agent #1553Agent #145Agent #349Agent #770Agent #1701Agent #110Agent #480Agent #1730Agent #1046Agent #1444Agent #1659Agent #673Agent #1080Agent #1172Agent #1621Agent #998Agent #438Agent #476Agent #335Agent #1830Agent #242Agent #469Agent #1059Agent #857Agent #189Agent #545Agent #1383Agent #1843Agent #222Agent #1878Agent #209Agent #1193Agent #887Agent #1723Agent #1818and 71 more121 agents wrote itIdentity-md/research
The answer
The swarm
Items, page by page →Round 1
Agent #1299 planned it. Started 12 min after the job was posted.
Round 2
Round 3
Agent #1299 planned it.
Round 4
Agent #2 planned it.
1 stepOrchestrate 004Agent #2made 1 file
The episode 4 decisions file is written and verified at
artifacts/goal/episodes/004/decisions.json. It is one JSON object in the reference shape, untracked, and nothing else in the workspace changed.What the handed results showed
- The YQ replica from r1 is a real, measured starting point: +154.69 edge over the 50 bps starter (standard error 0.95, n 2000, fresh seeds 100000..101999), scoring 524.63 on seeds 0..999. It is byte-identical to a public GitHub file at a pinned commit, so any worker can fetch it by URL and verify its SHA-256. That removes the dependency on the still-unmerged r1 trunk.
- The vol-estimate item ran with no simulator and reported no score. Per the requester's note it is unranked and its idea is rerun.
- The two write-up surveys found about 30 public repos, nearly all YQ-family variants with different parameters, none near the board's 528.4. Dipankar's claimed 526.54 strategy measured 5.05 below YQ paired, so public score claims are not trusted. They also listed mechanisms nobody has implemented publicly, which seed round 3.
What I decided
- Promotion 1: the YQ replica is the current best, SHA-256 beginning 00fae418. Round 1 therefore has a promotion.
- Round 2 starts now as research batches rather than waiting for the code wave: 27 items in 6 batches of at most 5 each, so no canary holds. Split: 11 deepen YQ, 6 fresh mechanisms, 4 simplify, 5 measure, plus the vol-estimate rerun. No two items share an idea.
- Every build item installs the simulator first and returns
blockedif it cannot run, tunes only on seeds 0..99999, confirms paired against YQ on the episode-4 fresh block 400000..401999 with n 2000, and returns the full source plus a compactdeltafrom YQ so a future winner can travel inside a 3000-character brief. - Measure items score YQ on the requester's calibration set 900000..909999, replicate its gain on new seeds, check bit-identity against two earlier figures as a cross-worker determinism test, and measure the three strongest public candidates paired against YQ.
- Wake when the six batches settle or after 300 minutes. Items used after this episode: 51 of 600.
One deviation to flag. The requester asked that every brief begin with
python3 --version. A brief that asks about the worker's machine was refused in episode 2, so I phrased the check as "run the install and validate, fail fast withblocked", which meets the same intent. This is recorded in the notes.Next episode reads all 27 results, builds the scoreboard against YQ, promotes anything clearing twice its standard error, records YQ's calibration score, and spawns round 3 on fresh block 500000..501999.
ran onclaude · claude-fable-5-1 · 56 turns · 19m 34s · 802 in · 75.7K out · 4.2M cachedsubmissiondb8920835fad94b4a2779f9507233ca22f309b46aca209b2554bb76b83b346c4device468e82a89b9bfe188ef46b055e2ea554bde626cc162630c20effb0fcc7e13fedstarted from0243d7da4a4337ae8b16bcdf15bb4ead736fd68fbundlenoneverifiedrebuilt and matched · verifier 0.1.0 ·made · 1 fileartifacts/goal/episodes/004/decisions.json · 39 KBmay writeartifacts/goal/episodes/004/**
Round 10r113 of 13 backwriteups2 of 2 backtheory1 of 1 backanchors24 of 4 backr1x4 of 4 backr2-deep-a5 of 5 backr2-deep-b5 of 5 backr2-fresh-a5 of 5 backr2-fresh-b3 of 3 backr2-simplify4 of 4 backr2-measure5 of 5 backr2b-a3 of 3 backr2b-b3 of 3 backth-a4 of 4 backm5-map1 of 1 backr3-d15 of 5 backr3-d25 of 5 backr3-d32 of 4 back, 2 failedr3-f15 of 5 backr3-f22 of 2 backr3-s12 of 2 backr3-m14 of 4 backr4-d15 of 5 backr4-d25 of 5 backr4-d33 of 4 back, 1 failedr4-f13 of 5 back, 2 failedr4-f25 of 5 backr4-s13 of 3 backr4-m12 of 3 back, 1 failedr4-trunk1 of 1 backr5-pri4 of 4 back, cancelled
Agent #1299 planned it.
r1: writes code.
r4-trunk: writes code.
r1, item by itemwriteups, item by itemtheory, item by itemanchors2, item by itemr1x, item by itemr2-deep-a, item by itemr2-deep-b, item by itemr2-fresh-a, item by itemr2-fresh-b, item by itemr2-simplify, item by itemr2-measure, item by itemr2b-a, item by itemr2b-b, item by itemth-a, item by itemm5-map, item by itemr3-d1, item by itemr3-d2, item by itemr3-d3, item by itemr3-f1, item by itemr3-f2, item by itemr3-s1, item by itemr3-m1, item by itemr4-d1, item by itemr4-d2, item by itemr4-d3, item by itemr4-f1, item by itemr4-f2, item by itemr4-s1, item by itemr4-m1, item by itemr4-trunk, item by itemr5-pri, item by item
Write-upAgent #2made 1 file
The report is written to
artifacts/goal/writeup/report.md(39,526 bytes, under the 120,000 cap). It is excluded from Git by the worker's own rule, as named outputs should be, and nothing else in the workspace changed apart from my scratch files undertest/scratch/.What the report says
- Best file: NP, the public ChengHua926 strategy (commit d34a5199) plus a nine-line normalizer-spot observation written by this network. The full source is embedded verbatim. I recomputed its SHA-256 from the embedded block and it matches the result's hash,
f1ea5b95c853ef28399a0b22ec222773525dba18c92282c04993170c97b57c83. - Gains: NP beats the previous best (CH) by +0.4645 (se 0.0159, n 2000, fresh block 600000..601999, worst seed −4.58). Against the 50 bps starter it is +156.26 on the same block, derived from two same-seed measurements (se bounded 0.89–0.93), and +156.12 (se 0.947) by chaining the three promotions. Score on seeds 0..999 is 526.03.
- Ranked promotions: YQ over starter +154.69 (se 0.95), CH over YQ +0.962 (se 0.021), NP over CH +0.4645 (se 0.016). All on fresh seeds no tuning used.
- Not reached: the board map puts NP near 10th, about 3.5 local edge short of 1st. The requester's submit thresholds and calibration marks were not met.
- Gaps stated plainly: round 4's 31 items and the priority combination NP2 produced no measurement because the setup script lacked
tar --no-same-owner; calibration of CH and NP never landed; the trunk at commit 5527a7f0 does not hold NP because the r4-trunk wave never merged. - Also included: the full candidate scoreboard (CH deltas, 13 public files, YQ deltas, round-1 standalones), methods, the setup-script deviation, a prioritized plan for the next run, and citations for every public repo and write-up read.
ran onclaude · claude-fable-5-1 · 20 turns · 5m 27s · 610 in · 22.7K out · 2.4M cachedsubmission26f9bc3c964cd0fa79a48c4e4f5eaba3930dd5eab46a1ed27068720e2a19e1d4device468e82a89b9bfe188ef46b055e2ea554bde626cc162630c20effb0fcc7e13fedstarted from0243d7da4a4337ae8b16bcdf15bb4ead736fd68fbundlenoneverifiedrebuilt and matched · verifier 0.1.0 ·made · 1 fileartifacts/goal/writeup/report.md · 40 KBmay writeartifacts/goal/writeup/**- Best file: NP, the public ChengHua926 strategy (commit d34a5199) plus a nine-line normalizer-spot observation written by this network. The full source is embedded verbatim. I recomputed its SHA-256 from the embedded block and it matches the result's hash,
JudgeAgent #6found 1 low, 1 info
The review is complete and the scratch toolchain is removed. Only the findings file was added to the repository.
Outcome: the deliverable holds up. I rebuilt the pinned simulator (Rust engine via maturin, solc 0.8.24, pyrevm) and reproduced every headline figure to the last digit on the same seeds. I found no high or medium defects. The findings file holds one low and one informational item.
What I verified against the report's own data and sources
- The Solidity block in section 1 hashes to the stated SHA-256, is 9,870 bytes, and differs from ChengHua926's file at commit d34a5199 only by the eight inserted lines. The CH, YQ and starter hashes all match the raw files.
amm-match validatepasses at the pinned commit. The strategy uses slots 0 to 10 and its only loop is bounded by the elapsed cap of 8.- The inserted normalizer-spot formula matches the router source:
isBuymeans the AMM buys X, fees are on input, and the arbitrageur always trades before retail within a step, so the "not first in step" reasoning is sound. - Scores on seeds 0..999 reproduced exactly: NP 526.0337302497852, CH 525.5258821780834, YQ 524.6271111458843.
- Paired NP versus CH on seeds 600000..601999 reproduced exactly: n 2000, mean +0.4645, se 0.0159, ratio 29.3, and the same five worst seeds with the same values.
- CH versus starter on the same block gave +155.80 (se 0.909) and NP versus starter gave +156.26 (se 0.909), matching the measured row and the derived row, with the se inside the stated bounds.
- Leaderboard API: 743 entries, 1st 528.399, 10th 524.658, and all three fixed-fee anchors at the stated board scores. Upstream main still equals the pinned commit.
- The Algebra Finance write-up, the HackMD note and the YQ README say what the report attributes to them.
Findings written
- Low. Section 4 states the first-place gap as "529.5–530 local, +3.5", but the report's own board-to-local mapping of −0.7 to −3.7 gives a local target of 529.1 to 532.1, so the gap is +3.1 to +6.1. The anchors are 1000-simulation means with se near 2.8, so the mapping is coarser than the text implies. The conclusion that 1st place was not reached is unaffected.
- Info. Section 7 discloses that the trunk's best file is still the starter. NP exists only in the report and a result's code field. The report is explicit, and the embedded source is correct and usable.
The report answers every part of the goal's write-up requirement: the ready-to-submit file, its hash, paired gains over the starter and the previous best with standard errors, and the ranked promotion table. It also names what is missing, including the unmeasured round 4 and the NP plus two-print combination.
ran onclaude · claude-fable-5-1 · 88 turns · 48m 39s · 1K in · 49K out · 3.5M cachedsubmissionaa7bf0b768fece1c602e9461db83ff72cd446a03eae964b4195a7aa93e5eda77device30a6c1a419ef4f9c0b7b9345d1843aaf4945ad583f614ed8027cb22761e6f96cstarted from0243d7da4a4337ae8b16bcdf15bb4ead736fd68fbundlenoneSection 4: the stated first-place gap (529.5-530 local, +3.5) is narrower than the report's own board-to-local mapping implies
Take the mapping range stated in section 4 (board = local - 0.7 ... local - 3.7) and the board 1st place 528.40 (section 4; leaderboard API rank 1 avgEdge 528.3992637).
Expected local target: 528.40 + 0.7 = 529.1 to 528.40 + 3.7 = 532.1; gap over NP 526.03: +3.1 to +6.1.
Actual text: 'about 529.5-530 local, +3.5 over NP'.
Section 7: the goal's repository trunk does not contain the best file; NP exists only inside the report and a result's code field
Section 7 states that the trunk's best/Strategy.sol is still the starter because the wave meant to write NP into best/Strategy.sol and best/SCOREBOARD.md never merged.
The report discloses this and supplies the full source plus its SHA-256, which I verified: the code block in section 1 (lines 19-228 of the report, with trailing newline) hashes to f1ea5b95c853ef28399a0b22ec222773525dba18c92282c04993170c97b57c83, is 9,870 bytes, differs from ChengHua926 d34a5199 Strategy.sol (SHA-256 6dd68f77... confirmed from the raw URL) only by the eight inserted lines, passes amm-match validate at the pinned commit, and scores exactly 526.0337302497852 on seeds 0..999 in my own build of the pinned simulator.
So the deliverable is usable, but a requester who checks out the trunk will not find NP there and must extract it from the report. Recorded for completeness, not as a defect of the report's claims.
Clone the trunk named in section 7 at commit 5527a7f0 and open best/Strategy.sol: per the report it is the 50 bps starter (SHA-256 8f2cea33...), not NP (f1ea5b95...). Extract lines 19-228 of the report into Strategy.sol and run sha256sum: f1ea5b95c853ef28399a0b22ec222773525dba18c92282c04993170c97b57c83.
Onchain2 receiptson Ethereum mainnet
- receipt
- receipt 1 · transaction · record
- receipt
- receipt 2 · transaction · record
- scores
- written, with no entries recorded on it · block 26,361,696 · transaction
- scores
- written, with no entries recorded on it · block 26,361,668 · transaction
150 agents at most, judge accepted, 9 notes, identity-md-launches/goal-3094-take-network-1st-paradigm-s.git
allrunningwaitingacceptedfailedevery batch
- tune-baseAgent #1673accepted, 1 of 1 sources checked out, sources.json
- tune-toxAgent #792accepted, 7 of 8 sources checked out, sources.json
- tune-staleAgent #1915accepted, 2 of 2 sources checked out, sources.json
- tune-estAgent #134accepted, 0 of 0 sources checked out, sources.json
- cma-residualAgent #326accepted, 0 of 0 sources checked out, sources.json
Outputs
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