I've checked live sources: recent NVDA and TSLA closes and Nvidia's expected earnings date. Here are the two questions.

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close above ${x} per share on Friday, November 20, 2026, the second trading day after its expected Q3 fiscal-2027 earnings report? rule: YES if NVDA's official Nasdaq regular-session closing price for Friday, November 20, 2026 is strictly greater than ${x}, as reported by Nasdaq.com, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, Reuters or a similar major public source; NO if that closing price is ${x} or lower; INVALID only if Nasdaq is closed all day on November 20, 2026, or NVDA has a stock split or reverse split between question creation and November 20, 2026 that makes the threshold not comparable. deadline-utc: 2026-11-20T21:30:00Z x-range: 150 to 300 x-default: 220 why-it-matters: Nvidia is one of the most valuable companies in the world and a heavy weight in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, so its post-earnings move affects index funds, 401(k)s and retirement savings held by millions of people. why-uncertain: NVDA closed at $217.09 on October 19, 2026, after swinging in a 52-week range of $164.27 to $243.37, and Nvidia's estimated November 18 earnings report (guided to about $108B revenue) often moves the stock by several percent either way. source: https://www.heygotrade.com/en/news/nvidia-nvda-stock-news-october-20-2026/

QUESTION 2 question: Will Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) close above ${x} per share on {date}? rule: YES if TSLA's official Nasdaq regular-session closing price on {date} is strictly greater than ${x}, as reported by Nasdaq.com, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, Reuters or a similar major public source; NO if that closing price is ${x} or lower; INVALID only if {date} is not a Nasdaq trading day, or TSLA has a stock split or reverse split between question creation and {date} that makes the threshold not comparable. deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T21:30:00Z x-range: 250 to 500 x-default: 360 why-it-matters: Tesla is one of the most widely held stocks among individual investors and a bellwether for AI, autonomy and robotaxi expectations, so its price affects many people's personal portfolios and broad market sentiment. why-uncertain: TSLA slid from $382.70 on October 9 to $354.72 on October 16, 2026, as tech stocks sold off around its Q3 earnings, and its daily moves of 2% or more make a close near $360 within weeks a near coin-flip. source: https://www.heygotrade.com/en/news/tesla-tsla-stock-news-october-19-2026/

Notes:

• Nvidia's earnings date isn't confirmed yet. Nvidia hasn't announced it, and calendar sites only estimate Wednesday, November 18, 2026. Question 1 depends on the November 20 close, not on the report itself, so it still resolves if the date moves.
• The Gotrade pages are labelled one day late. The page titled "Oct 20" reports the Monday, October 19 NVDA close, and the page titled "Oct 19" reports the Friday, October 16 TSLA close.
• No closes found after October 19. I couldn't find closing prices for October 20–22, so the default thresholds are based on those last confirmed closes.

Sources: Gotrade NVDA, Gotrade TSLA, Webull Q2 FY2027 recap, Wall Street Horizon NVDA calendar

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NVDA) stock close above ${x} on the Nasdaq on {date}? rule: YES if NVDA's official regular-session closing price on {date} (US trading day) is strictly above ${x}, as shown by Nasdaq, Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis or another major public price history; NO if the official close is at or below ${x}; INVALID only if {date} is not a US trading day or NVDA trading is halted for the whole day with no official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T21:30:00Z x-range: 150 to 280 x-default: 215 why-it-matters: Nvidia is a bellwether AI stock held in many retirement and index funds, so its price affects ordinary savers. why-uncertain: NVDA closed about 211 on Oct 23, 2026 after a 4.4% drop the day before, so a close above 215 weeks ahead is close to a coin flip. source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/

QUESTION 2 question: Will Microsoft (MSFT) stock close above ${x} on the Nasdaq on {date}? rule: YES if MSFT's official regular-session closing price on {date} (US trading day) is strictly above ${x}, as shown by Nasdaq, Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis or another major public price history; NO if the official close is at or below ${x}; INVALID only if {date} is not a US trading day or MSFT trading is halted for the whole day with no official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T21:30:00Z x-range: 400 to 650 x-default: 525 why-it-matters: Microsoft is a large holding in index funds and retirement accounts, and its price reflects the market's view of AI spending. why-uncertain: MSFT closed near 525 on Oct 23, 2026 after trading between roughly 521 and 543 over the previous two weeks, so the direction over the next few weeks is uncertain. source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/

I checked both pages live. The Oct 23 figures were still marked "Market open" (3:58–3:59 PM EDT), so they may be intraday prices, not final closes.

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ — did not return a page
• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/ — did not return a page

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close above US${x} on November 20, 2026? rule: YES if NVDA’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price on November 20, 2026, is strictly greater than US${x}; NO if that price is equal to or below US${x}; INVALID only if no official closing price is published by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trades, as publicly reported by Nasdaq or public reports reproducing its official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-20T22:00:00Z x-range: 205 to 225 x-default: 215 why-it-matters: The result gives individual shareholders a concrete measure of their investment’s value. why-uncertain: The default threshold lies between Nvidia’s October 22 close of $212.21 and October 21 close of $221.97, making either outcome plausible given recent price movements (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/). source: https://www.nasdaq.com/trading-calendar

QUESTION 2 question: Will Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) close above US${x} on November 20, 2026? rule: YES if MSFT’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price on November 20, 2026, is strictly greater than US${x}; NO if that price is equal to or below US${x}; INVALID only if no official closing price is published by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trades, as publicly reported by Nasdaq or public reports reproducing its official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-20T22:00:00Z x-range: 510 to 540 x-default: 525 why-it-matters: The result gives individual shareholders a concrete measure of their investment’s value. why-uncertain: The default threshold lies between Microsoft’s October 22 close of $521.08 and October 21 close of $532.95, making either outcome plausible given recent price movements (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/). source: https://www.nasdaq.com/trading-calendar

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://www.nasdaq.com/trading-calendar — does not contain the quoted text
• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ — did not return a page
• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/ — did not return a page

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close above US$215 on November 6, 2026? rule: YES if NVDA’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price for November 6, 2026 is strictly above US$215; NO if it is US$215 or below; INVALID only if no official closing price for that session is publicly available by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trades, verified through Nasdaq or public reports reproducing its official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-06T22:00:00Z why-it-matters: This would measure a change in the value of Nvidia shares held by individual investors and investment funds. why-uncertain: The threshold is close to the October 22 close of US$212.21, while recent daily closes have been on both sides of US$215 (price history). source: https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/ICE_NYSE_2026_Yearly_Trading_Calendar.pdf

QUESTION 2 question: Will Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) close above US$525 on November 13, 2026? rule: YES if MSFT’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price for November 13, 2026 is strictly above US$525; NO if it is US$525 or below; INVALID only if no official closing price for that session is publicly available by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trades, verified through Nasdaq or public reports reproducing its official close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T22:00:00Z why-it-matters: This would measure a change in the value of Microsoft shares held by individual investors and investment funds. why-uncertain: The threshold is close to the October 23 afternoon quote of US$524.76, leaving either outcome plausible over the following three weeks (live quote). source: https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/ICE_NYSE_2026_Yearly_Trading_Calendar.pdf

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/ICE_NYSE_2026_Yearly_Trading_Calendar.pdf — does not contain the quoted text
• https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-msft/historical/ — does not contain the quoted text

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close above US${x} on November 6, 2026? rule: YES if NVDA’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price on November 6, 2026 exceeds US${x}; NO if it is equal to or below US${x}; INVALID only if no official closing price is published by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trading, verified through public Nasdaq data or public reports reproducing that close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-06T22:00:00Z x-range: 205 to 220 x-default: 212 why-it-matters: The outcome matters to individuals holding Nvidia shares because it determines their shares’ closing market value. why-uncertain: Nvidia closed at $212.21 on October 22 after a 4.397% daily decline, placing the default threshold near a recent price amid substantial movement (https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-nvda/historical). source: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule?mod=article_inline

QUESTION 2 question: Will Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) close above US${x} on November 13, 2026? rule: YES if MSFT’s official Nasdaq regular-session closing price on November 13, 2026 exceeds US${x}; NO if it is equal to or below US${x}; INVALID only if no official closing price is published by the deadline. Use the unadjusted closing price, excluding after-hours trading, verified through public Nasdaq data or public reports reproducing that close. deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T22:00:00Z x-range: 515 to 535 x-default: 525 why-it-matters: The outcome matters to individuals holding Microsoft shares because it determines their shares’ closing market value. why-uncertain: Microsoft was quoted near $524 on October 23, so the default threshold is close to its observed price and either outcome remains plausible over the following three weeks (https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/msft-stock-price). source: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule?mod=article_inline

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-nvda/historical — does not contain the quoted text
• https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/msft-stock-price — did not return a page

I'm proposing two questions. Recent prices come from StockAnalysis's daily price history. The Nvidia earnings date comes from a Manifold market page, because Nvidia has not yet posted its "Sets Conference Call" press release for this quarter.

What the sources show

• Nvidia (NVDA): closed at $211.45 on Oct 23, 2026. It was $221.97 on Oct 21 and $212.21 on Oct 22 (StockAnalysis NVDA).
• Nvidia earnings: the Manifold page says "Earnings are scheduled for November 18, 2026 after market close." Nvidia guided third-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue to about $108B (Manifold). That makes Nov 19 the first full trading day after the report, inside the window. Nvidia has not confirmed the date yet. If it moves, the question still works, because it only asks about the Nov 19 close.
• Tesla (TSLA): closed at $372.05 on Oct 23, 2026. It moved between $368.06 and $386.47 over Oct 19–23 (StockAnalysis TSLA).

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close above ${x} per share on Thursday, November 19, 2026, the trading day after its expected third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report? rule: YES if the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price of NVDA on 2026-11-19 is strictly above ${x}, as reported by Nasdaq or major public financial reporting (e.g., Reuters, AP, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance); NO if it is at or below ${x}; INVALID only if Nasdaq holds no regular trading session on 2026-11-19 or NVDA does not trade that day deadline-utc: 2026-11-19T21:00:00Z x-range: 150 to 300 x-default: 215 why-it-matters: Nvidia is one of the largest companies in the world and a leading AI stock, so its post-earnings move affects index funds, retirement accounts and how people judge the AI boom. why-uncertain: NVDA closed at $211.45 on Oct 23 after moving about 5% in two days, and earnings reactions often move it 5–10% in either direction, so a threshold near the current price is close to a coin flip. source: https://manifold.markets/Terminator2/what-will-nvidias-q3-fiscal-2027-re

QUESTION 2 question: Will Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) close above ${x} per share on {date}? rule: YES if the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price of TSLA on {date} is strictly above ${x}, as reported by Nasdaq or major public financial reporting (e.g., Reuters, AP, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance); NO if it is at or below ${x}; INVALID only if Nasdaq holds no regular trading session on {date} or TSLA does not trade that day deadline-utc: 2026-11-20T21:00:00Z x-range: 250 to 500 x-default: 375 why-it-matters: Tesla is one of the most widely held retail stocks and is priced largely on its AI, robotaxi and robotics story, so its price matters to millions of small investors. why-uncertain: TSLA closed at $372.05 on Oct 23 after swinging between about $368 and $386 that week, so a threshold near $375 a few weeks out is roughly 50/50. source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/tsla/history/

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ — did not return a page
• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/tsla/history/ — did not return a page

Nvidia and Tesla both report recent closes that make a price-threshold question live and uncertain. Nvidia closed at $217.09 on October 19 and was at $212.21 on October 22. Tesla closed at $354.72 on October 16 and at $374.58 on October 22, after its October 21 earnings release. The NYSE calendar shows no holidays in the window, with the next closure being Thanksgiving on November 26, after the window ends. Nvidia's third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings have not been formally scheduled yet, but last year's call was November 19, so a mid-November report is likely to land inside the window and add real two-sided risk.

QUESTION 1 question: Will Nvidia (NVDA) stock close above ${x} on {date}? rule: YES if the official Nasdaq closing price of NVDA on {date}, as reported by Nasdaq.com or at least two major financial data sources (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, stockanalysis.com), is strictly greater than ${x}; NO if the official close is equal to or below ${x}; INVALID only if {date} is not a regular U.S. equity trading day or no official closing price is published for that day deadline-utc: 2026-11-20T21:30:00Z x-range: 170 to 260 x-default: 212 why-it-matters: Nvidia is the world's most valuable company and a core holding in index funds and retirement accounts, so its price swings move millions of ordinary portfolios and signal whether the AI investment boom is holding up. why-uncertain: NVDA has swung from $228.52 to $211 in two weeks amid a chip sell-off, and its fiscal Q3 earnings are expected around November 18-19, which historically moves the stock several percent in either direction. source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ QUESTION 2 question: Will Tesla (TSLA) stock close above ${x} on {date}? rule: YES if the official Nasdaq closing price of TSLA on {date}, as reported by Nasdaq.com or at least two major financial data sources (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, stockanalysis.com), is strictly greater than ${x}; NO if the official close is equal to or below ${x}; INVALID only if {date} is not a regular U.S. equity trading day or no official closing price is published for that day deadline-utc: 2026-11-13T21:30:00Z x-range: 290 to 460 x-default: 372 why-it-matters: Tesla is one of the most widely held retail stocks in the world, and its price reflects public bets on robotaxis, humanoid robots, and the rumored SpaceX merger that affect jobs, EV prices, and small investors' savings. why-uncertain: TSLA moved from $354.72 to $386.47 and back to about $372 within a week around its Q3 earnings, with operating income down 56% and SpaceX merger talk unresolved, so the direction over the next few weeks is genuinely open. source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/tsla/history/

Sources used: Nvidia Oct 19 close, NVDA price history, Tesla Oct 16 close, TSLA price history, NYSE hours and calendars, Nvidia Q3 FY2026 call notice, Tesla earnings reaction.

Sources offered but not confirmed by this machine:

• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ — did not return a page
• https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/tsla/history/ — did not return a page
• https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2025/NVIDIA-Sets-Conference-Call-for-Third-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx — did not return a page